The Unsinkable brian cork™

Brian Patrick Cork is living the Authentic Life

google Employees can thank brian cork

June16

Google GOOG has a recruiting challenge. although, in truth, they have many problems.

I may be one of them.

…but, only if helping people make informed decisions is deemed problematic.

earlier this month I posted: the Microsoft curse.

through that post I outlined three core issues Google is facing (you need to read it. do it!). one of them is most apropos to this current post:

“finally, but not really, there is so much more. but, neither employees or shareholders can build wealth owning Google stock. so, the company is easy to recruit from. the company built it’s collective employment foundation on greed and a sense of entitlement. if you understand my core business, you get how I know this. let’s be clear, I stand against such things. I fight them.”

I’ll remind you that last month I also posted: no more Apples.

“suddenly Apple isn’t as cool as it’s products. It’s much like Google. Working at either place won’t change your life financially unless you are a very senior executive. it took Google three years to drive itself into a share value rut. Apple’s story is awesome and sustained itself for almost thirty years. but, I think the joy ride is over (unless the stock splits).”

so…

with all of that there has been a great deal of fist shaking and the gnashing of teeth. there has also been reports of pushing and shoving. but, more of that was realized on the West coast, and less so, here.

but, the bottom-line is that, evidently in response to my blog post, Google recently gave its workers an across-the-board 10% pay raise.

but mega-employers like Google, Yahoo (YHOOFortune 500) and Facebook offer untraditional incentives like free lunch, laundry, massages, oil changes and dentistry to keep their employees. they, like Google, splash around cash.

and, this is going to create a bubble of sorts that makes for a much bigger problem over the next three years. efforts such as this inflates the value, or perceived value, of everything such as real estate, certain brands of automobiles, job titles, etc. but, what can you expect from a culture that does not really create anything but the illusion of something undefined, like Google (and wannabes)?

our country values and measures itself by the stock market. so, insiders, analysts and some other bloggers want Silicon valley to keep up the pressure that creates an image. but, most people don’t have access to the data, analysis and stock at the earliest stages to change their lives as I’ve discussed earlier.

I’ll discuss what to do about all of this this soon. so, hang in there and stick with me.

more later.

peace be to my Brothers and Sisters.

brian patrick cork

the Microsoft curse

June1

it’s no secret I hold Microsoft in utter disdain. contempt is a good word, as well.

…utter contempt.

they have the simple audacity to exist. this in light of the simple fact that they pale in comparison to Apple, in terms of innovation and profitability. of course this is poetic given the fact that Bill Gates gave birth to Microsoft by stealing from Steve Jobs. to day, Apple’s marketcap eclipses Microsofts by an order-of-magnitude.

…whatever… that’s old news.

what is becoming more apparent, and every day is that Microsoft’s evil core carries with it something of a curse.

As it turns out, at least eight firms have recently cut ratings on Microsoft stock, including Goldman Sachs, Canaccord, WestLB and Citigroup. as bad as Tuesday was, Wednesday will be another rotten day for Nokia shareholders. and, it’s what they get for partnering with Microsoft.

in a fast changing market, Nokia is losing ground very rapidly. The profit warning for the second quarter provided evidence that the next couple of years will prove very challenging, with the gross margin and market share trends of the last four quarters continuing, if not accelerating even more. the collaboration with Microsoft now appears to us unlikely to be successful, as Nokia’s brand is losing ground too fast and the window of opportunity for an alternative ecosystem is vanishing rapidly. even modeling a scenario in which Nokia stabilizes next year leads us to believe that the stock will under-perform over the next twelve months.

you think I’m, biased, and possibly opinionated, eh?

Bernstein Research analyst Pierre Ferragu early Wednesday cut his rating on the stock to Underperform from Market Perform, chopping his price target on the shares to $4, from $7.33.

I called him myself. if he were standing in my Boardroom, right now, he will tell you that he’s come to the conclusion that Nokia is in deep trouble, which continue to get deeper. and, he does not think the deal to switch to phones based on the Microsoft Phone 7 OS will save the beleaguered, and former technology darling.

consider the harsh realities. I believe new guidance issued by the company is a strong indication that a worst case scenario is crystallizing. I have to believe Nokia’s Device business will experience operating losses in the third quarter of this year and in the first quarter of next year. I’m also convinced that the launch of Windows-based phones will be challenging, to say the least, given the likely loss of traction and visibility of the Nokia brand, as well as the speed at which the opportunity for a third ecosystem to emerge is vanishing.

Nokia’s stock isn’t even worth the effort to short it.

but, Google is.

later, I’ll discuss what I’m confident will happen to Facebook now that they’ve sold their soul and part of the company to Microsoft. Facebook has an evil element to begin with. but, now the rot can’t help but become evident. look for the story in or around June of 2013.

later, I said. Google now has three problems that you need to understand:

it underestimated Facebook. evil spreads like plague (just look at Android [AKA “dumb down kid machines”]) and over five hundred million people are on Facebook. this includes millions of kids that lie to open-up accounts, and people that create a statistic that says Facebook accounts for sixty-one percent of divorces in our country, alone.

Larry Page is now CEO. he’s not a leader. you don’t have to trust me on this one. he’ll prove it himself.

finally, but not really, there is so much more. but, neither employees or shareholders can build wealth owning Google stock. so, the company is easy to recruit from. the company built it’s collective employment foundation on greed and a sense of entitlement. if you understand my core business, you get how I know this. let’s be clear, I stand against such things. I fight them.

the best way to win and make money with Google is hope your enemies buy their products and you shorting their stock.

do it!

if you are wondering what Microsoft has to do with Google, just understand the lack of innovation, creativity and soul that permeates both organizations. how could purgatory, in it’s form, be any different?

peace be to my Brothers and Sisters.

brian patrick cork

General Motors ON

November16

It’s no secret that General Motors (“GM”) has it’s Initial Public Offering (“IPO”) this week.

What might be a secret to the masses, however, is it’s truest underlying purpose.

The government lent money to GM. There is some thinking that the government could own as much as sixty-one percent (61%) of GM. And, the big auto-maker, as leading and cutting-edge as it’s vehicles have become, will struggle for decades to pay our thinly stretched United States Treasury back – and, it does not have a prayer of meeting it’s pension obligations.

So, they, that insidious “they” (no doubt led by the pipe-smoking-black-dog), mind you, are going to foist the problem on the American Citizens the very best of the good old fashioned way, certainly time-honored… By manipulating the stock market.

Seriously.

Here is how this particular effort will play-out. You simply need to make the decision if you are going to benefit, or keep getting your collective asses kicked.

The IPO will likely open up around $28.00 a share. Insiders (by many a definition) will pay less. For example, the United States Treasury is going to own shares as will friends of the big brokerage houses. JP Morgan is the syndicate lead and they are making all manner of new friends on Capital Hill with this play. This is not widely publicized for obvious reasons.  In any event, based on the aforementioned loan details, the Treasury will break even when the stock hits approximately $44.00.

So, it’s a good bet the stock will do just that, and then some.

I’m guessing there will likely be close to a $6m billion over subscription of the stock leading up to the IPO. My experience tells me we’ll see about $1 billion in roiling. Then that “over-hang” of back-orders will kick the stock up. After that, it’s all about “management”.

This is not evil. This is simply the way things work. You, why not you, can argue it’s part of the American dream.

I have to say something. It’s one of the many reasons you read this Blog. And, it’s something a Prudent and Optimistic Gentleman finds, required.

Good luck. But, there is little of that actually involved. Fortuna, perhaps, eh Dr. Pappas?

UPDATE 11/17/2010 @ 1pm: VOILA! – GM Confirms Expanding IPO by 31 percent

Peace be to my Brothers and Sisters

Brian Patrick Cork

After Hours Trading

April22

So…

Apple is down a bit today (oddly) on very good news from AT&T.

Why would that be?

This is likely analysts and institutional guys instructing brokers and managers to sell-off small investors positions in Apple stock to create a gap.  In after hours /1 trading you will likely see “players” from oversees take positions in Apple to take advantage of the gap, and ride the stock to $200+.

Just a theory, mind you.

Peace be to my Brothers and Sisters.

Brian Patrick Cork

1/ After hours trading is such a scam.

By the way…  I probably better drop a disclaimer here.  This is not investment advice.  My objective is to shed light on my concerns around after hours trading and it’s effect on the fair market and informed decision-making.

What’s All This About?

"What am I looking at?", you might wonder.

Lots of stuff.

Meanwhile, here, I discuss events, people and things in our world - and, my (hardly simplistic, albeit inarticulate) views around them.

You'll also learn things about, well, things, like people you need to know about, and information about companies you can't find anywhere else.

So, while I harangue the public in my not so gentle way, you will discover that I am fascinated by all things arcane, curious about those whom appear religious, love music, dabble in politics, loathe the media, value education, still think I am an athlete, and might offer a recipe.

All the while, striving mightily, and daily, to remain a prudent and optimistic gentleman - and, authentic.

brian cork by John Campbell





photos by John Campbell

 

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